Not a Blue Wave, Given Significant Senate Losses
The 2018 Congressional elections turned out to be a zero wave election. Since December 2017, the Democrats were thinking a Blue Wave was coming despite clear and convincing evidence to the contrary. Rage and resistance, after all, don’t guarantee a Blue Wave. Let’s look at what happened on Election Day and why this turned out to be a zero wave election.
According to the preliminary totals with a few seats still up in the air, Democrats gained about 26 seats in the House during this election, Trump’s first midterm election. This is a far cry from the historic 2010 election in which Republicans gained 63 seats, during a midterm election for Obama. That was a Red Wave, at least in the House. Another example is in 1994, during Clinton’s first midterm election, Democrats lost 52 House seats.
While the Democrats took the House in the 2018 Congressional elections, they lost seats in the Senate. It now appears that the new Senate will contain probably 55 Republican seats after two close races are resolved.
If this election were a Blue Wave election, the Democrats wold not have lost seats in the Senate. Democrats Claire McCaskill in Missouri, Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota, and Joe Donnelly in Indiana, all lost reelection.
President Trump campaigned for 11 Senate seats. If this were a Blue Wave election, nine of those 11 Senate seats would not have been won by Republicans. That’s a great track record for President Trump.
Not a Red Wave Either, But the Conservative Judicial Wave Continues
Obviously the Republicans lost the House, so we can’t call it a Red Wave. But, gains in the Senate certainly make it easier to re-make the judiciary across America. It will be easier to confirm future Supreme Court appointees as well as Federal appellate and district judges that are Constitutional conservatives as promised by President Trump.
My Forecast – House 96% Correct, Senate 88% Correct
While I predicted overall better results in the House and Senate than actually materialized, my forecast was good. I predicted 96% of House races. I also predicted 88% of Senate races.
My prediction that the Senate will be more conservative in 2019 is true as well.
Jeff Sessions Prediction Comes True Right after the Election
I correctly predicted Attorney General Jeff Sessions would leave office after the election. That happened the day after this election.