Will Trump Run for President in 2020 as a Republican, an Independent, or as Head of a New Party?
If you thought the 2016 presidential election was an historic race with some unexpected twists and turns, just wait until the 2020 presidential election, when the Trump run for reelection might completely shock you. It looks increasingly like the 2020 presidential election will be even more tumultuous than even the surprising 2016 election. Why?
There are many dynamics at play and critical battles are shaping up as we move toward the mid-term 2018 Congressional elections. One important factor for 2020 is the fact that both the Democrat Party Establishment and the Republican Party Establishment are working overtime to assure the Trump 2016 victory and mandate is effectively blocked, stymied, and nullified. The Democrat Party Establishment position can be summarized in one word: RESISTANCE. In contrast, the Republican Party Establishment approach can be summed up as: BROKEN PROMISES TO TRUMP AND THE VOTERS.
In essence, the Republican Establishment in the House and Senate are rejecting Trump’s leadership, policies, and plans. They are ignoring the head of their party, much preferring to have one of their own running the nation instead, if they could have their choice. Trump is not leaving the Republican Party, but the Republican Party is in the process of abandoning President Trump.
How Will Trump Deal with Such Little Support from the Republican Party Establishment?
Trump Strategy #1 – Trump can support loyal conservatives as primary opponents to Republican Party Establishment incumbents who have failed to support his agenda. Draining the swamp will translate into bringing more conservatives into office, replacing incumbents who have not kept their policy promises to the American people. In effect, Trump will be running Republicans against existing Republican officeholders. Trump’s advisers, including Newt Gingrich for example, might not appreciate this approach.
Trump Strategy #1 is probably the only strategy that has a chance of maintaining the Republican Party as the majority party in America in 2020 and beyond. In this case, the Trump run for reelection will be as a Republican once again.
Trump Strategy #2 – Trump can ignore both parties in the House and Senate as voting blocs and instead cobble together winning coalitions on specific legislation. This would build on his recent debt ceiling deal with “Chuck and Nancy.” In other words, if he can’t get Republicans to follow him, maybe he can negotiate specific deals on specific issues. This approach can be enhanced with Trump’s signature rally’s with his base.
Trump Strategy #2 is the forerunner to Trump running either as an Independent presidential candidate in 2020 or as the head of a new majority party. As president, Trump no longer needs a majority party to run for reelection. He has the name recognition, power, position, prestige, and fundraising capabilities of an incumbent to get reelected.
What is going to happen in 2018 and 2020?
If the Republican Party gets its act together and makes good on its promises to the voters, it will retain its status as the majority party in America. Then, President Trump will run and be reelected in 2020 as the Republican presidential candidate.
If enough Republican conservatives oust Republican Establishment incumbents in 2018 and effectively take over the Republican Party from the Establishment, it will follow through on the pledges made to the American electorate. In this case, once again, President Trump will run and be reelected in 2020 as the Republican presidential candidate. The Republican Party will also retain its status as the majority party in America.
If the Republican Party does not come through on its promises after the 2018 mid-term elections, it will cease to be the majority party in America in 2020. It will be replaced by a new political party, probably the Conservative Party or possibly the Make America Great Again Party, corresponding to our new Conservative American Constitutional Era as I discuss in my book Great News for America.
If Trump is successful in achieving his promises to the American people despite the failure of the two parties, he will be the leader of the new party that he will help create. The Conservative Party or MAGA Party will then become a new majority party. The old Republican Party will decline and become the opposition party. The Democrat Party with its radical leftist supporters will virtually disappear from the political scene. The George Soros funding network and far left coalition will also fall apart.
Coming in January 2018 – More Great News for America
A new book, More Great News for America, by Dr. Lameiro on President Trump, the Congressional elections, and key political developments in 2018 and 2019 is planned. Watch for more information.