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What is the Impact of the Orlando Massacre on the Presidential Election?

What is the Impact of the Orlando Massacre on the Presidential Election, Now and in November? With the Orlando massacre, the 2016 presidential election has just hit an electoral pivot point, if not a tipping point.  Voters have been impacted dramatically.  Voter intensity and voter momentum will likely change effective immediately.  Polls will probably catch up within a week or so.  What’s the impact on the Trump – Clinton race?  How will it effect Sanders?  What’s the probable impact on a potential third party candidate?  How long will these impacts last?  Let’s discuss these questions now. Has the Historic and…


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Will Bernie Sanders Start Third Party – A Socialist Party?

Will Bernie Sanders Start Third Party? Will Bernie Sanders start third party, a Socialist Party?  Is that really possible?  Is the upcoming People’s Summit in Chicago a forerunner of a new third party? Increasingly, it looks certain that Bernie Sanders’ current strategy is to go to the Democratic National Convention on July 25th in Philadelphia without the 2,383 Delegates needed to capture the presidential nomination. Sanders hopes to get many of the estimated 548 Super Delegates pledged to Clinton to switch and vote for him.  If he doesn’t get the nomination, he might just start a third party called the…


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Mainstream Media Ends Now?

Mainstream Media Ends Now – An Update on My Prediction Mainstream Media Ends Now. In my 2016 book, Great News for America, I predicted the “End of the Mainstream Media’s Influence (as we know it) in Presidential Elections.” This is Prediction #9 of ten predictions that I made in the book that would happen before, during, or after the historic and critical 2016 presidential election.  All ten of those predictions appear to be in the process of coming true. Let’s discuss Prediction #9 now … What Was Prediction #9 All About? In past presidential elections, the mainstream media (MSM) consisting of the…


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Are Trump’s Supreme Court Picks Conservative?

Trump’s Supreme Court Picks – Conservative or Progressive? Last week, Trump’s Supreme Court picks list was made public. All together, Trump selected 6 Federal Appeals Court judges and 5 State Supreme Court judges for his list. Trump indicated that he might consider additional judges in the future to those already on his current list.  If he did, Trump indicated they would follow the same philosophy as those currently on the list. The question conservative voters, the media, and others are asking is simple: “Are Trump’s Supreme Court picks conservative, progressive, or both?  Let’s look at these potential Supreme Court justices…


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Who’s Ahead in Trump-Clinton Race?

Who’s Ahead in the Trump-Clinton Race This Week? In the Trump-Clinton race this week, Trump has moved ahead by 2 points according to an NBC News / Survey Monkey Weekly Tracking Poll.  According to this national tracking poll, conducted online among about 14,000 adults (about 12,500 registered to vote), Clinton holds the edge over Trump with 48% to 45%.  This is down from the previous week’s numbers, 49% to 46%.  The error estimate for this particular poll is +/- 1.2%.  It is nearly a statistical tie with the momentum currently going to Trump. This means the Trump-Clinton gap has moved…


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Will a Third Party Candidate Deny Both Trump and Clinton Needed 270 Electoral Votes?

Will a Third Party Candidate Throw the Election into the House of Representatives? A third party candidate might prevent both Trump and Clinton from getting the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the 2016 presidential election by winning only about six States. What third party candidate scenarios are possible? Why are people considering them? What’s likely to happen next in this historic, critical and often tumultuous 2016 presidential election? Let’s discuss these questions now … Why Don’t All Establishment Republicans and Conservatives Support Trump? Many establishment Republicans as well as conservative Republicans fall into the categories of #NeverTrump or #NotSureAboutTrump….


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Will Kasich Assure Trump’s Nomination?

Will Kasich Assure Trump’s Nomination? While John Kasich is largely being ignored by the media, will Kasich assure Trump’s nomination? According to a Public Policy Polling survey released this week, 49% of voters in the John Kasich’s State of Ohio think its time for him to exit the race.  This is a big reversal from two months ago when 52% of Ohio voters thought he should stay in the race. Does it matter if Kasich stays in the race or not?  If he continues to stay in the race until the July convention, what is the impact on the Republican…


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Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at GOP Convention?

Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at the GOP Convention in July? It appears unlikely that either Trump or Cruz will get to the magic number of 1,237 delegates to garner the Republican presidential nomination on the first ballot in Cleveland in July.  At that point, the “unpledged delegates” will become potentially critical in the nomination process. But, also there are three other important groups of delegates that might give the nomination to Trump or Cruz. Some delegates are pledged to candidates who have suspended their campaigns.  These delegates are the so-called “orphaned delegates.”  In addition, some delegates are “pledged…


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After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the First Ballot?

After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the Nomination? If we include the results of the NY Primary, I’m currently forecasting that Trump will have between 1145 and 1195 delegates on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention this July.  If this is an accurate forecast, it means that Trump will be denied a first ballot nomination despite all his primary wins to date.  1237 is the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination. After NY Primary, What’s Up Next? On the heels of the NY Primary, comes a series of 10 primaries at the end…