March 2020

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Coronavirus Peak – Will it Come by Easter?

Coronavirus Peak – Will it Come to an End in Mid-April to Mid-May? About two weeks ago, I predicted that the coronavirus peak would take place between mid-April and mid-May with 80% probability and the coronavirus panic would end at that time. My current forecast model continues to look like the coronavirus peak has hit in some areas and is close to hitting its peak in other areas. I now think it likely that the current closings of businesses, offices, schools, and Churches will end and in fact, will begin to re-open around Easter Sunday, April 12. This fits well…

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Will Corona Virus Impact Presidential Election?

Will the Corona Virus Impact the 2020 Presidential Election Primaries? The Corona Virus impact on the presidential election is already being felt this week. In Ohio, the primary was cancelled in a complicated set of circumstances. Governor Mike DeWine said the State would not open polls due to the corona virus pandemic after a judge refused to postpone the primary. After the Ohio Department of Health Director, Dr. Amy Acton, declared a health emergency and the closing of the polls, the Ohio primary was postponed. The Governor argued that the primary was an unacceptable health risk to both the voters…

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Corona Virus Panic Ends in Mid-April?

Will the Corona Virus Panic End in Mid-April? The corona virus panic seems to be going overboard in its efforts to limit exposure to the virus and to prepare for any potential adverse effects. Just consider these recent facts: There are shortages of toilet paper on the shelves of some stores in the United States, the U.K., Singapore, and Australia, due to panic buying related to the corona virus – despite the fact that there are no real shortages of the item in the usual supply chains for this household product.Harvard University has told students to leave campus and is…

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Biden or Bernie or Someone Else?

Biden or Bernie or Will It be Someone Else? People are talking these days as if the Democratic nomination has filtered down to just Biden or Bernie. The media is talking about a “two-man” race. Some people are discussing the “fact” that it’s down to two old white males and that women and minorities have been left completely out. But, will it be Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders? Will one of them be nominated for sure? Not so fast! Biden or Bernie Might Not Get Enough Delegates Indeed, it’s entirely possible that neither Joe Biden nor Bernie Sanders will get…

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Super Tuesday – What to Expect?

Super Tuesday – What is It? Super Tuesday 2020 takes place on Tuesday, March 3rd. Fourteen States, the Territory of American Samoa, plus Democrats living abroad have 1,357 Delegates to select on Super Tuesday. Those 14 States represent 40% of the U. S. population. Among the 14 States are some big Delegate prizes: California with 415 Delegates Texas with 228 Delegates North Carolina with 110 Delegates Virginia with 99 Delegates Massachusetts with 91 Delegates How are Delegates Allocated? Super Tuesday definitely does not follow a winner-take-all approach. In fact, there are three different types of Delegates: Unpledged Delegates – Usually…