After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the Nomination? If we include the results of the NY Primary, I’m currently forecasting that Trump will have between 1145 and 1195 delegates on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention this July.  If this is an accurate forecast, it means that Trump will be denied a first ballot nomination despite all his primary wins to date.  1237 is the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination. After NY Primary, What’s Up Next? On the heels of the NY Primary, comes a series of 10 primaries at the end…

What Happened to Colorado’s Republican Delegates? There’s been a virtual firestorm over Cruz winning Colorado’s Republican Delegates.  What really happened in Colorado?  What process was followed?  Were the Delegates stolen by Cruz?  Is it just sour grapes on the part of people that wanted Trump to get the Delegates?  Let’s look at it from the point of view of someone who know’s the process and who attended a Colorado Republican Congressional District Convention and the Colorado Republican State Convention. What’s the History of the Colorado Delegate Selection Process? Literally, the Colorado caucus approach to the selection of Colorado Delegates to…