• Great News for America Great News for America The critical presidential election of 2016 is shaping up to be the
    most profound presidential election since the election of 1896.
    This book makes ten surprising predictions that are bold and
    powerful. It predicts some historic events for America that will
    take place before, during and after the 2016 presidential election.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.
  • Renewing America Renewing America This book is possibly the most comprehensive book ever written
    on Freedom. It starts by recognizing God as the Author of Liberty
    and builds a substantial and solid, moral case for Freedom. It
    explains the 25 essential components of Freedom necessary to
    have a free nation.

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    Click the book illustration to order.
  • America’s Economic War America’s Economic War Are you struggling to understand what’s going on in America
    This book describes the 47 major battles taking place across
    America between those who believe in traditional American
    Capitalism and those who believe in socialism. The battles
    span issues dealing with religious, political and economic
    freedom.

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    Click the book illustration to order.
  • Choosing the Good Life Choosing the Good Life This short book presents two distinct and competing economic
    visions for what constitutes the “Good Life.” These economic
    visions represent two different economic systems, two
    different ways of looking at life, and two different ways of
    living life. Your choice of economic vision will help to
    determine whether America and our civilization
    will grow or decline.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.

Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at GOP Convention?

Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at the GOP Convention in July?

It appears unlikely that either Trump or Cruz will get to the magic number of 1,237 delegates to garner the Republican presidential nomination on the first ballot in Cleveland in July.  At that point, the “unpledged delegates” will become potentially critical in the nomination process. But, also there are three other important groups of delegates that might give the nomination to Trump or Cruz.

Some delegates are pledged to candidates who have suspended their campaigns.  These delegates are the so-called “orphaned delegates.”  In addition, some delegates are “pledged to be uncommitted.”

Indeed, how will the unpledged, pledged to be uncommitted, and orphaned delegates vote in Cleveland?  Plus, what about the “non-aligned delegates” who support some candidate other than the primary winners in their respective States?  What’s going on with all these delegates?

Let’s face it.  This is an historic and critical presidential election.  It will include an historic and potentially unpredictable Republican National Convention. Candidates, supporters, voters, delegates – everybody seems to have a strong opinion on who can get elected and who should be nominated.

Unpledged Delegates

Currently, there are about 81 delegates expected to go into the convention unpledged.  For example, there are Pennsylvania’s 54 unpledged delegates (18 Congressional Districts times 3).  They are unpledged because of the Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania’s Rules that require CD delegates to be unpledged. Other unpledged delegates are from Colorado, Wyoming, North Dakota, American Somoa, Guam, and the Virgin Islands.

Orphaned Delegates

Orphan delegates arise when allocated delegates are pledged to a candidate who has suspended his or her campaign.  There are currently 189 orphaned delegates as follows:

  • Marco Rubio – 173
  • Ben Carson – 9
  • Jeb Bush – 4
  • Carly Fiorina – 1
  • Mike Huckabee – 1
  • Rand Paul – 1

“Pledged to be Uncommitted” Delegates

Some delegates are pledged to be uncommitted.  There are 11 such delegates now.  They are from Louisiana, Oklahoma, Wyoming, and the Virgin Islands.

Non-Aligned Delegates

These delegates are controversial this year because it might be a contested election.  Their legitimacy might raise floor fights in the Credentials Committee and on the floor of the convention.  These are delegates selected with the encouragement of particular presidential campaigns (primarily the Cruz campaign), following the rules, yet not in direct alignment with State primary or caucus results.  Some become available on subsequent ballots.  The latter delegates will shift away from other candidates starting on the second ballot.

My estimate is that non-aligned delegates might make up about 150 delegates before the convention.

Example of Non-Aligned Delegates

Maine is a closed caucus, proportional State with 23 Delegates.  It is not a winner-take-all State.  Cruz carried Maine with 50.6% of the vote on Saturday, March 5th in Maine’s Municipal Caucuses. Maine’s delegate allocation formulas appear to offer differing ways to compute delegate allocation.  One method was used.  After the statewide caucuses, 12 delegates were allocated to the winner Cruz, 9 to Trump, and 2 to Kasich.  These numbers have been reported by various media sources.

However, the delegate slate was subsequently determined at the Republican State Convention on Saturday, April 23rd.  It appears that the final delegation selected included non-aligned delegates as follows: 19 to Cruz, 1 to Trump.  Once again, Cruz appears to have a superior ground game and got more of his supporters named as delegates.

For More Information on This Year’s Presidential Election plus Ten Surprising Predictions

Please read my new book Great News for America.  In it, I make ten surprising predictions that will probably come true before, during, and after the 2016 presidential election.  Available on Kindle and other e-book devices.