• Great News for America Great News for America The critical presidential election of 2016 is shaping up to be the
    most profound presidential election since the election of 1896.
    This book makes ten surprising predictions that are bold and
    powerful. It predicts some historic events for America that will
    take place before, during and after the 2016 presidential election.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.
  • Renewing America Renewing America This book is possibly the most comprehensive book ever written
    on Freedom. It starts by recognizing God as the Author of Liberty
    and builds a substantial and solid, moral case for Freedom. It
    explains the 25 essential components of Freedom necessary to
    have a free nation.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.
  • America’s Economic War America’s Economic War Are you struggling to understand what’s going on in America
    This book describes the 47 major battles taking place across
    America between those who believe in traditional American
    Capitalism and those who believe in socialism. The battles
    span issues dealing with religious, political and economic
    freedom.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.
  • Choosing the Good Life Choosing the Good Life This short book presents two distinct and competing economic
    visions for what constitutes the “Good Life.” These economic
    visions represent two different economic systems, two
    different ways of looking at life, and two different ways of
    living life. Your choice of economic vision will help to
    determine whether America and our civilization
    will grow or decline.

    “Learn More”
    Click the book illustration to order.

Who’s Ahead in Trump-Clinton Race?

Who’s Ahead in the Trump-Clinton Race This Week?

In the Trump-Clinton race this week, Trump has moved ahead by 2 points according to an NBC News / Survey Monkey Weekly Tracking Poll.  According to this national tracking poll, conducted online among about 14,000 adults (about 12,500 registered to vote), Clinton holds the edge over Trump with 48% to 45%.  This is down from the previous week’s numbers, 49% to 46%.  The error estimate for this particular poll is +/- 1.2%.  It is nearly a statistical tie with the momentum currently going to Trump.

This means the Trump-Clinton gap has moved from 5% to just 3% in only one week.

Who’s Ahead in the Trump-Clinton Race Among Various Voter Groups?

As expected, Clinton leads Trump among black and Hispanic voters, while Trump leads among white voters.  In a similar way, Trump is ahead among men, while Clinton leads among women.  High school educated voters favor Trump in contrast to college educated voters that favor Clinton.  People earning less than $50,000 per year tend toward Clinton, while those earning more than $100,000 favor Trump.

Of interest, 87% of Republicans support Trump and 87% of Democrats favor Clinton.  The same number, 87%, in both cases.  Significantly, Trump leads Clinton among independent voters 44% to 36%.

What’s Next?

Several possibilities are on the horizon:

  • There is still a real possibility of a third party candidate entering the race and throwing off the tracking poll numbers.  Third party candidates include: (1) an anti-Trump conservative candidate; (2) an anti-Trump establishment Republican candidate; and (3) an anti-Clinton candidate (probably Bernie Sanders, if he is not selected as the presidential or VP nominee).
  • Significant anti-Trump negative ad campaign by Clinton and Super-PACs supporting her candidacy.  Major negative ad campaign should start Wednesday of this week by the pro-Clinton Priorities USA Super-PAC.  Anti-Trump ads will target the potential battleground States of Ohio, Florida, Nevada, and Virginia.  Priorities USA has reserved $136M of ads total, $96M on TV.
  • Significant anti-Clinton negative attacks by Trump and his supporters.

What’s the Long Range Forecast?

If there is a third party candidate, a reassessment will be needed.

If there is no third party candidate, Trump will likely win the election easily.

For More Information on This Year’s Presidential Election plus Ten Surprising Predictions

Please read my new book Great News for America.  In it, I make ten surprising predictions that will probably come true before, during, and after the 2016 presidential election.  I also discuss in Chapters 5, 6 and 7 the political party realignments of the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, and a possible new third party.  It’s available in a print edition from Amazon and other book sellers.  It’s also available on Kindle and other e-book devices.