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Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at GOP Convention?

Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at the GOP Convention in July? It appears unlikely that either Trump or Cruz will get to the magic number of 1,237 delegates to garner the Republican presidential nomination on the first ballot in Cleveland in July.  At that point, the “unpledged delegates” will become potentially critical in the nomination process. But, also there are three other important groups of delegates that might give the nomination to Trump or Cruz. Some delegates are pledged to candidates who have suspended their campaigns.  These delegates are the so-called “orphaned delegates.”  In addition, some delegates are “pledged…


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After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the First Ballot?

After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the Nomination? If we include the results of the NY Primary, I’m currently forecasting that Trump will have between 1145 and 1195 delegates on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention this July.  If this is an accurate forecast, it means that Trump will be denied a first ballot nomination despite all his primary wins to date.  1237 is the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination. After NY Primary, What’s Up Next? On the heels of the NY Primary, comes a series of 10 primaries at the end…


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What Really Happened with Colorado’s Republican Delegates?

What Happened to Colorado’s Republican Delegates? There’s been a virtual firestorm over Cruz winning Colorado’s Republican Delegates.  What really happened in Colorado?  What process was followed?  Were the Delegates stolen by Cruz?  Is it just sour grapes on the part of people that wanted Trump to get the Delegates?  Let’s look at it from the point of view of someone who know’s the process and who attended a Colorado Republican Congressional District Convention and the Colorado Republican State Convention. What’s the History of the Colorado Delegate Selection Process? Literally, the Colorado caucus approach to the selection of Colorado Delegates to…


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Is Paul Ryan Running for the Republican Presidential Nomination?

Is Paul Ryan Running for President? While Trump and Cruz are battling it out for delegates to the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July, Paul Ryan might be setting the stage for a strong run at the presidential nomination on the second ballot at the convention, or even the third ballot.  Is this thought just a wild speculation in April?  Or, is there enough evidence at this point to definitely conclude Paul Ryan is truly running for president?  Let’s talk about it now … Paul Ryan – Why Do We Think He Might be Running for President? Paul Ryan…


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Do Trump and Clinton have a Solid Lock on their Potential Nominations?

Do Trump and Clinton have a Lock on their Potential Nominations? Trump and Clinton have their nominations all locked up.  At least, that’s what some people think.  Is it really true?  Or, will both Trump and Clinton be overtaken by Cruz and Sanders, or Paul Ryan and Joe Biden?  Let’s discuss this incredible 2016 presidential race now … Trump and Clinton – How Can their Nominations be Overtaken? Here are some scenarios that might change who the ultimate Republican nominee is this fall: Neither Trump nor Cruz get to the 1,237 threshold of needed delegates to secure the nomination (after…


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Where the Race Stands after Arizona, Utah and American Samoa?

Where Does the Race Stands after Arizona, Utah and American Samoa? Arizona and Utah boosted the delegate totals for Trump and Cruz on Tuesday.  Here’s an update on where the Republican presidential race stands on Wednesday, March 23rd, after the Arizona Primary (58 Delegates, Winner-Take-All, Closed), Utah Primary (40 Delegates, Proportional, Closed), and the American Samoa Convention (9 Delegates, Unbound, Open): Trump – 739 Delegates (30%) Cruz – 465 Delegates (19%) Kasich – 143 Delegates (6%) Other Suspended Campaigns – 181 Delegates (7%) Rubio – 166, Carson – 8, Bush – 4, Fiorina – 1, Huckabee – 1, Paul – 1 Uncommitted –…


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Will Convention Rules Determine the Republican Nominee?

Will Convention Rules Determine the Republican Presidential Nominee? Convention Rules are vitally important.  While many people are focused on who’s ahead in the delegate count today, it’s possible the Republican Party Convention Rules will dramatically influence or even determine the 2016 Republican presidential nominee.  Let’s get an update on the delegate counts and then look at some of the current and potential new rules that can make a big difference in this race. Where Does the Race Stand? Here’s an update on where the Republican presidential race stands on Monday, March 21st, prior to the Tuesday, March 22nd, Arizona Primary…


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Will Super Tuesday #2 Determine the Republican Nominee?

Will Super Tuesday #2 Be Decisive? Super Tuesday #2 is March 15th.  It follows two weeks after Super Tuesday #1 on March 1st.  While Super Tuesday #1 was important, some people think Super Tuesday #2 might be decisive.  Will Super Tuesday #2 be decisive?  Will it determine the ultimate Republican presidential nominee?  Let’s discuss these questions next … Going into Super Tuesday #2, Where Does the Republican Nomination Stand? Here are the delegate counts going into Super Tuesday #2: Trump – 460 (44%) Cruz – 370 (35%) Rubio – 163 (15%) Kasich – 63 (6%) That means Trump + Cruz…


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Ten Predictions – All Seem to be Coming True!

Ten Predictions – All Seem to be Coming True! Ten Predictions that are identified and described in my new book, Great News for America, seem to be coming true as we follow the 2016 presidential election.  Great News for America was written in 2015.  Yet, its predictions all appear to be coming true.  Here are three of my ten predictions … 1.  Prediction – A Rare, Historic and Critical Presidential Election Great News for America predicts a relatively rare historic and critical 2016 presidential election.  That means a historic, record-setting voter turnout. Look at the numbers today in the Republican presidential…