New Hampshire Primary – Important?
Is the New Hampshire Primary Important? That’s the question this week. If it’s important, how important is it really? Did Trump close another big deal in his career? Did Bernie “Bern-Up” Hillary’s chances of getting the Democratic nomination? Is it now a guarantee that we will see a Trump – Sanders race for The White House in November? Let’s talk about these questions and more now …
Who Were the Big Winners in New Hampshire?
Certainly, Trump met expectations by improving his ground game and coming up with about 35%of the vote. He also clearly took the bulk of the independents who chose to vote in the Republican primary. Trump received 44% of the independents. He also captured the “angry with the Federal government vote” with 37%. Cruz got 17%, Rubio got 12%, and Bush got 9% of these voters.
Sanders decisively beat Clinton with about 60% to 39%. That’s not even close, a 21% margin of victory.
A mini-winner was Kasich. With about a 16% showing as of late Tuesday (when I’m writing this blog post ), his second place position made him the establishment favorite this week, supplanting last’s weeks establishment winner Rubio. Bush, Rubio and Christie all trailed behind Kasich in a virtual tie for 4th place.
Who Were the Big Losers in New Hampshire?
Obviously, Clinton followed her tie in Iowa with a major loss in New Hampshire. In parallel, the Democratic National nomination race is now potentially running neck and neck with the recent Quinnipiac poll with Clinton at 44% and Sanders at 42%.
Rubio not only looked poorly in the NH debate with his use of the same answer frequently and in close proximity when challenged by Christie, but to go from 3rd place in Iowa to a nearly three-way tie for 4th place in New Hampshire doesn’t make him look like a strong contender for the nomination.
What About South Carolina?
It’s a whole new ballgame. Cruz looks like he might challenge Trump again for 1st place. Hillary should do a lot better against Bernie.
Great News for America
To read more about the historic and critical 2016 presidential election, please read my new book Great News for America. It makes ten surprising predictions that will probably happen before, during, and after the 2016 presidential election. It’s available in print and Kindle editions and is available through Amazon and other retail booksellers. You can also click here to buy a copy now.