April 2016

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Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at GOP Convention?

Who Will Get the Unpledged Delegates at the GOP Convention in July? It appears unlikely that either Trump or Cruz will get to the magic number of 1,237 delegates to garner the Republican presidential nomination on the first ballot in Cleveland in July.  At that point, the “unpledged delegates” will become potentially critical in the nomination process. But, also there are three other important groups of delegates that might give the nomination to Trump or Cruz. Some delegates are pledged to candidates who have suspended their campaigns.  These delegates are the so-called “orphaned delegates.”  In addition, some delegates are “pledged…


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After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the First Ballot?

After NY Primary, Does Trump have a Lock on the Nomination? If we include the results of the NY Primary, I’m currently forecasting that Trump will have between 1145 and 1195 delegates on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention this July.  If this is an accurate forecast, it means that Trump will be denied a first ballot nomination despite all his primary wins to date.  1237 is the number of delegates needed to secure the nomination. After NY Primary, What’s Up Next? On the heels of the NY Primary, comes a series of 10 primaries at the end…


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What Really Happened with Colorado’s Republican Delegates?

What Happened to Colorado’s Republican Delegates? There’s been a virtual firestorm over Cruz winning Colorado’s Republican Delegates.  What really happened in Colorado?  What process was followed?  Were the Delegates stolen by Cruz?  Is it just sour grapes on the part of people that wanted Trump to get the Delegates?  Let’s look at it from the point of view of someone who know’s the process and who attended a Colorado Republican Congressional District Convention and the Colorado Republican State Convention. What’s the History of the Colorado Delegate Selection Process? Literally, the Colorado caucus approach to the selection of Colorado Delegates to…


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Is Paul Ryan Running for the Republican Presidential Nomination?

Is Paul Ryan Running for President? While Trump and Cruz are battling it out for delegates to the Republican National Convention in Cleveland in July, Paul Ryan might be setting the stage for a strong run at the presidential nomination on the second ballot at the convention, or even the third ballot.  Is this thought just a wild speculation in April?  Or, is there enough evidence at this point to definitely conclude Paul Ryan is truly running for president?  Let’s talk about it now … Paul Ryan – Why Do We Think He Might be Running for President? Paul Ryan…